Watching the votes come in over the week was interesting simply that in the small sample size I could see the various bull/bear camps vote when certain people would retweet my appeals to get people to vote. With a total vote count of 83 it’s rather to hard to divine any statistical meaningfulness other than how my limited following thinks about the subject matter.
I wonder if the lack of voting, given the push from some pretty high-profile traders, indicates a general lack of understanding of reflexivity or if people really don’t care. I assume that day traders are less inclined to think about market cycles than those with longer time frames.
There was also some mention of peoples’ dislike for George Soros. I assume that has to do with his politics – which is a rather silly logical fallacy as to the validity of the theory (not that I like much of Soros’ political thinking – but that’s another subject.) We’ll see if we can get better participation over the coming weeks.
Just as a reminder though, You need to vote every week in the new poll for a good baseline to be established. I’ll have a separate post up for that soon.
Still, as my friend Andrew Kassen pointed out:
@davebudge interesting distribution already shakes out into the 2 distinct camps that always seem present: good times about to begin; or end
— Andrew Kassen (@andrewunknown) November 16, 2014
Here are the numbers for what ever they’re worth.
mean = 3.75
median = 3.5
mode = 5
Comments are open if you care to say anything but to keep the trolls out you have to have one approved comment in the past for your words to show up. Ergo, if you write something it may take me a few hours to approve it. After that you’ll be able to comment freely. Be patient.
And thanks for participating.